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Risk & Portfolio Construction Formula

M-Squared (M2) Formula

M-squared (the Modigliani-Modigliani measure) restates the Sharpe ratio as a return rather than a ratio. It is the return a portfolio would have earned if it had been levered or de-levered to match the market's volatility. Because it is expressed in percentage points over the benchmark, it is far easier to interpret than a raw Sharpe number while preserving the same ranking.

By AI Fin Hub Research · AI Fin Hub Team
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Formula

Copy the exact expression or work through it step by step below.

M2 = R_f + Sharpe_p x sigma_m M2 excess = M2 - R_m = (Sharpe_p - Sharpe_m) x sigma_m where Sharpe_p = (R_p - R_f)/sigma_p

Variables

Sharpe_p

Portfolio Sharpe ratio

The portfolio's excess return over the risk-free rate divided by its own volatility. M-squared scales this by the market's volatility to put it in return units.

sigma_m

Market volatility

Standard deviation of the benchmark's returns. The portfolio is hypothetically levered until its volatility equals sigma_m, making it directly comparable to the market.

R_f

Risk-free rate

Return on the riskless asset, used both in the Sharpe ratio and as the base the scaled risk premium is added to.

R_m

Market return

Benchmark return. Subtracting it from M2 gives the M-squared excess, the volatility-matched outperformance in percentage points.

Step By Step

  1. 1

    Compute the portfolio Sharpe ratio from its excess return and volatility.

    Portfolio excess return 8%, volatility 16%: Sharpe = 0.08/0.16 = 0.50.

  2. 2

    Identify the market's volatility.

    Market volatility is 12%.

  3. 3

    Scale the portfolio Sharpe by market volatility and add the risk-free rate.

    M2 = 3% + 0.50 x 12% = 3% + 6% = 9%.

  4. 4

    Subtract the market return for the M-squared excess, the volatility-matched outperformance.

    If the market returned 8%, M2 excess = 9% - 8% = +1%.

Worked Example

Comparing a volatile fund to the market on equal-risk terms

Portfolio excess return / volatility

8% / 16%

Market return / volatility

8% / 12%

Risk-free rate

3%

Portfolio Sharpe = 0.08 / 0.16 = 0.50. M2 = R_f + Sharpe_p x sigma_m = 0.03 + 0.50 x 0.12 = 0.03 + 0.06 = 0.09 = 9%. Market return is 8%, so M2 excess = 9% - 8% = +1%.

M-squared of 9%, a +1% volatility-matched advantage over the market. The fund's raw return (8% + 3% = 11% total) looked better than the market only because it took more risk (16% vs 12% volatility). Once de-levered to the market's 12% volatility, it would have returned 9%, just one point above the market: the honest, risk-equalized comparison the M-squared measure is built to deliver.

Common Variations

M-squared for beta (M2 alpha): uses systematic risk instead of total volatility, the Treynor analog in return units.
Sharpe ratio: the same information as a unitless ratio rather than a return, identical rankings but harder to interpret directly.
GH1/GH2 (Graham-Harvey) measures: related volatility-matching performance measures using a leverage mix with the risk-free asset.

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Planning estimates only — not financial, tax, or investment advice.